By Paul Homewood
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Just a few final observations on the Carbon Budget:
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Transport
The targets for EVs are not a surprise, given that they are in line with the ZEV mandate and the 2030 ban on ICE vehicles.
However they effectively have ruled out hydrogen powered HGVs, and have set a target of 63% electric HGVs on the road by 2040, despite the fact that the technology does not exist to make it workable.
There is also the usual nonsense about switching to public transport and walking, with a 7% switch by 2035.
Heat Pumps
The CCC want annual installations to hit 450,000 in 2030, and 1.5m in 2035. This will inevitably mean a ban on gas boilers by 2035, but also raises the question of how people will be forced to buy them in the interim.
Agriculture
CB7 demands a massive reduction in emissions of 39% relative to 2022 in the agricultural sector, and this will mean large reductions in the number of cattle and sheep, along with planting woodlands on good agricultural land.
However, reducing meat and dairy production in the UK will inevitably lead to replacement by imports, with a much higher carbon footprint. The CCC therefore demand import controls and tariffs to price them out of the market.
The end result will be much higher food prices.
In terms of numbers, they want us to eat 25% less meat by 2040, with a similar reduction in livestock herds. The effect on British farming will be catastrophic, and once again we have to ask how all of this will be enforced.
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Aviation
The CCC veered away from earlier attacks on flying, quite deliberately in my view. Otherwise Miliband’s position in the cabinet would have been untenable, given the plans for new runways at Heathrow and Gatwick. This really does prove that the CCC is not the independent body it is made out to be.
In place of demands to reduce flights and frequent flyer taxes, they call for emissions cuts of only 17% by 2040, with the emphasis on sustainable aviation fuel. The cost of this, estimated at seven times the price of kerosene, will be passed onto passengers, which they hope will reduce demand.
Passengers will also have to pay the full cost of “engineered removals” – basically direct air capture, the mammothly expensive and unproven process of taking carbon dioxide out of the air and storing it – to cover residual emissions.
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Hope for alternative fuels and direct air capture rely of course on technology developing, but the CCC have this ominous warning of what is to come if it does not:
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Translation – limits on flights.
Holidays abroad in a few years time, along with much of our lives, will be controlled by the government.